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XMas rally?

What are your expectations when it comes to short term and long term price development, do you see a XMas rally incoming?
Think the chances are quite good and the reason would be hunt for liquidity by the big boys. Let me explain a bit:
I personally think that big money has taken over and it is no longer about technology when it comes to BTC. Since the introduction of BTC futures things have changed and it is now just a casino. Trading index and commodity futures and price movements there are optimized to "use" retail traders for liquidity so i would expect the same is now the case for BTC.
Since BTC trading is far less regulated and some players can even move the markets by themselves or Tether, betting on futures could be used as amplifier. Just a few days ago the sudden spike wiped out 60M in short positions on the futures for example. That is nice pocket money for a whale. Now as discussed it is all about the liquidity in trading, since paper gains on any assets only become real once they are actually realized.
We have seen a dramatic raise to ATH. After that a drop to levels, where it would be barely profitable to keep infrastructure running. After that a raise over 10k, which created another wave of inflow of liquidity due to FOMO. This was a great opportunity to cash out for the big boys, they love to sell into all the FOMO buying of small investors (not just BTC). Now how will it continue ? What would be the next opportunity to generate liquidity to cash out?
We have dropped significantly from the last spike already. But XMas is at the doorstep and that could also attract some precious liquidity, especially if price would raise again over important levels like 10k and BTC would therefore be in the mainstream news....

If you are looking for more background info about liquidity and big money this is a really good video:
You could also read about the IG client sentiment indicator and price development (on USD/AUD f.e. it is nicely visible)...
My advice would be to make sure you are green, when all the dust settles. Diversify your investments and remember to play like the big boys: only realized profits are "real". Buy low sell high, do not HODL everything, because in this game someone will hold the bag in the end and it is usually the small investor. Times have changed, it is no longer about technology.
submitted by Biotic101 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Using Python and Pandas to explore trader sentiment data

FXCM’s Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) focuses on buyers and sellers, comparing how many are active in the market and producing a ratio to indicate how traders are behaving in relation to a particular currency pair. A positive SSI ratio indicates more buyers are in the market than sellers, while a negative SSI ratio indicates that more sellers are in the market. FXCM’s sentiment data was designed around this index, providing 12 sentiment measurements per minute (click here for an overview of each measurement.)
The sample data is stored in a GNU compressed zip file on FXCM’s GitHub as{instrument}.csv.gz. To download the file, we’ll use this URL, but change {instrument} to the instrument of our choice. For this example we’ll use EUUSD price.
import datetime import pandas as pd url = '' data = pd.read_csv(url, compression='gzip', index_col='DateTime', parse_dates=True) """Convert data into GMT to match the price data we will download later""" import pytz data = data.tz_localize(pytz.timezone('US/Eastern')) data = data.tz_convert(pytz.timezone('GMT')) """Use pivot method to pivot Name rows into columns""" sentiment_pvt = data.tz_localize(None).pivot(columns='Name', values='Value') 
Now that we have downloaded sentiment data, it would be helpful to have the price data for the same instrument over the same period for analysis. Note the sentiment data is in 1-minute increments, so I will need to pull 1-minute EURUSD candles. We could pull this data into a DataFrame quickly and easily using fxcmpy, however the limit of the number of candles we can pull using fxcmpy is 10,000, which is fewer than the number of 1-minute candles in January 2018. Instead, we can download the candles in 1-week packages from FXCM’s GitHub and create a loop to compile them into a DataFrame. This sounds like a lot of work, but really it’s only a few lines of code. Similarly to the sentiment data, historical candle data is stored in GNU zip files which can be called by their URL.
url = '' periodicity='m1' ##periodicity, can be m1, H1, D1 url_suffix = '.csv.gz' symbol = 'EURUSD' start_dt =,1,2)##select start date end_dt =,2,1)##select end date start_wk = start_dt.isocalendar()[1] end_wk = end_dt.isocalendar()[1] year = str(start_dt.isocalendar()[0]) data=pd.DataFrame() for i in range(start_wk, end_wk+1): url_data = url + periodicity + '/' + symbol + '/' + year + '/' + str(i) + url_suffix print(url_data) tempdata = pd.read_csv(url_data, compression='gzip', index_col='DateTime', parse_dates=True) data=pd.concat([data, tempdata]) """Combine price and sentiment data""" frames = data['AskClose'], sentiment_pvt.tz_localize(None) combineddf = pd.concat(frames, axis=1, join_axes=[sentiment_pvt.tz_localize(None).index], ignore_index=False).dropna() combineddf 
At this point you can begin your exploratory data analysis. We started by viewing the descriptive statistics of the data, creating a heatmap of the correlation matrix, and plotting a histogram of the data to view its distribution. View this articleto see our sample code and the results.
submitted by JasonRogers to AlgoTradingFXCM [link] [comments]

Trade Ideas Thread (3 - 7 March) - Submit your trade and win reddit gold!

Had some great trade ideas, all of them - thanks to everyone who participated!
Here are the trades, summarized, and not in order of competition ranking. Some of them I'm not sure if they were triggered, so please do update your post or add a new comment to let me know.
(Trades in brackets are still open. We'll have a vote on the next thread as to what to do with these)
Trades in italics: I'm not sure whether they were triggered or not. Let me know
Trader Day Pair Buy/Sell Entry Stop Target Result R:R P/L Comment
Wyatt2000 Wed/Thurs USD/CAD Sell 1.10799 1.12067 1.097 Win 1:0.9 +109
phatey Thurs/Fri USD/CHF Sell 0.88825 0.8915 0.88 Win 1:2.6 +80
phatey Thurs GBP/JPY Buy 171.27 (170.90) 172 Win 1:2 +73 Manually reversed short
Ormin Mon/Tues USD/CHF Sell 0.8854 0.8876 0.878 Loss 1:3.4 -30
phatey Mon/Tues GBP/JPY Sell 171.22 171.5 168.5 Loss 1:9 -10 Manually closed
Blades1 Tues/Wed NZD/USD Sell 0.8392 0.843 0.83 Loss 1:3.5 -38
NormanConquest Mon AUD/CAD Sell 0.993 1.0075 0.86 Loss 1:3.25 -145 Fuck this thing
papagoy Fri EUNZD Buy 1.634 1.615 1.65 (Win) 1:0.8 (+68)
NormanConquest Mon EUCHF Buy 1.2100 1.193 1.24 (Win) 1:2 (+77)
FXReddit Mon/Tues NZD/CAD Sell 0.93 0.94 0.9015 (Loss) 1:2.8 (-78)
FXReddit Mon USD/JPY Buy 100.75 100.4 105 Not triggered 1:14 N/A
phatey Thurs/Fri EUUSD Buy 1.3715 1.368 1.383 Not triggered? 1:4 N/A?
Aaaand the winner is:
Phatey with this beautifully simple USD/CHF short:
Congratulations on winning the first /forex paper trading competition! I really like this trade because it was just so obvious, clean and textbook, and in the face of all the noise out there about how USD/CHF was on its way to the moon.
There were lots of other good contenders. In second place for sure was Wyat2000's USD/CAD short. The only reason I decided that this didn't win was because phatey's trade had a much better risk/reward ratio - other than that they were both equally good, and equally well executed.
I didn't include phatey's EUUSD long, which would have been even better, but I don't believe it was triggered?
Two interesting things:
I'll leave correspondence open for bitchin' and whinin' until the end of the day, so if you have any complaints or suggestions we can pretend that this is a democracy for a bit. Otherwise the prize will be awarded this evening!
Someone suggested we make this a thing, so this is where you post your hottest trade ideas for the week. Smoke 'em if you got 'em, and let's try liven this place up a little.
*** To make it a little interesting, I will award the week's "best trade" with a month of reddit gold! ***
  1. Charts are preferable, but if you don't post a chart then please be detailed about entry level, stops and limits, means of execution, and any other conditions. Vague buy or sell calls won't be considered for the competition - you must include some reasoning behind the trade.
  2. In order to be eligible to win, you MUST adhere to Rule #1 and you MUST post an update on when and how you managed and closed your trade (including partial exits, trailing your stop, adding on, etc.) - I'm hoping these threads will be a good way for newbies to learn, and for the rest of us to pick up a few tricks.
  3. The "Best Trade" will be judged by me, but I'll take anyone's thoughts into consideration. It will be based mostly on % change in price during the time the trade was open, but there may be arbitrary style points awarded. Generally it will be on how technically "good" the trade is, and hopefully this will generate some debate.
  4. Risk management and strategic execution will also factor into it, mostly to try to exclude luck to some degree - but also to encourage and promote good trading habits.
  5. You can post trades at any time from now until Friday's close, but no trades after the fact, obviously.
  6. Trades that are still open by Friday's close will be considered as closed at that point (unless anyone has a better idea of how to handle this?)
  7. EDIT: Forgot to mention that you can post as many different trades as you like, but please do them each in a separate comment to make it easier to track.
I'll post mine as soon as TradingStation is back up tomorrow, but in the meantime, let's hear what you got!
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

Japanese Yen Declines After Trade Figures Miss Expectations

This is an automatic summary, original reduced by 11%.
The Yen declined against the US Dollar following poor Japanese trade balance figures January's trade balance was - ¥1086.9b vs -¥625.9b expected and ¥640.4b previously February's FOMC minutes serve as top event risk for USD/JPY in the week ahead. See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the DailyFX SSI readings on the sentiment page.
The Japanese Yen fell against the US Dollar as trade balance figures missed expectations.
The data showed the nation's trade balance for January was - ¥1086.9b versus -¥625.9b expected and ¥640.4b recorded in December.
While there was an initial USD/JPY climb, the excitement seemed to dwindle rather swiftly as these figures have limited implications for BOJ monetary policy.
With a rather quiet week ahead, the release of February's FOMC meeting minutes will serve as top event risk for the USD/JPY pair.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from IG. The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc..
Summary Source | FAQ | Theory | Feedback | Top five keywords: trade#1 balance#2 USD/JPY#3 figures#4 February's#5
Post found in /news and /worldnewshub.
NOTICE: This thread is for discussing the submission topic. Please do not discuss the concept of the autotldr bot here.
submitted by autotldr to autotldr [link] [comments]

SSI Forex Trading Lesson 1 - YouTube Greed or Fear - A Brief Introduction on the SSI Indicator Commonly Used in the Forex Market Trading with the SSI Indicator with Walker E. 01.05.16 Trading the SSI Indicator with Walker E.01.19.16 SSI Forex Trading Lesson 2 SSI Forex Trading INSTRUCTOR TAKE Tom Long's Take The Forex Indicator That Makes Profitable Traders ...

SSI is the prime indicator to do sentiment analysis (although there are others such as the COT report, for long-term trading), but acquiring the SSI in the form of an indicator, for Forex, does not come cheap. Unfortunately we cannot have access to it via MT4 and so traders can’t always see whether they apply to their trading style unless they actually sign up for one of these platforms that ... Banks constantly profit from trading Forex. How do you think they do this? They have many strategies and algorithms they depend upon to make their trades. But of all these strategies, there is one that is very common. It splits into these three phases. Phase 1: Accumulation. This is the first step in the bank trading strategy. Banks never skip this step because it serves as the precursor to ... Il trading online permette di negoziare su un gran numero di mercati. Si va dal mercato delle materie prime all’azionario, dagli indici di borsa alle criptovalute. Ma nonostante questo grande numero di opportunità di trading, da sempre gli esperti indicano nel Trading Forex quello più conveniente in quanto rappresenta, come vedremo tra poco, elementi che ne determinano la sua esclusività. FXSSI - Forex sentiment tools. Legal Stuff. IE Pashkevich A.G. TIN 503227185281 PSRNSP 317502400021247 . Leveraged trading in foreign currency carries a high level of risks and may not be suitable to everyone. Si acabas de empezar, te recomendamos que veas el curso de trading y forex para principiantes. Proveedor de Señales Forex rentable. Un proveedor de señales Forex rentable y fiable, ya emita sus señales mediante un canal de telegram u otro medio, es aquel que obtiene un mayor número de operaciones ganadoras que perdedoras, y que las operaciones ganadoras siempre obtienen más ganancias que ... En muchas plataformas de trading Forex, el costo de transacción tiende a ser la diferencia entre el precio de compra y el precio de venta, esto es el “spread.” Así, si el precio EUR/USD está en 1.0853 y queremos abrir una posición de compra, nuestra plataforma de trading Fx abrirá la posición con el precio de venta que tiende a ser unos pips por debajo del precio de compra, en este ... In my recent article, 3 Things I Wish I Knew When I Started Trading Forex, I mentioned how I wish I had learned about the SSI sooner as it has made a fundamental difference in my trading. Based on ... SSI levels of 2 or lower are considered weaker signals of sentiment. A Contrarian Indicator. The SSI is considered to be a "contrarian" indicator, which means traders may want to trade in the opposite direction that the indicator is pointing. Thus, if the index is showing that there are more buyers in the market than sellers, it could be taken as a signal that the market is in an overbought ... Curso de Forex básico ⭐️GRATIS⭐️ con estrategia acción del precio, price action y figuras chartistas Trading con indicadores, fibonacci y divergencias. En señ ofrecemos a todos nuestros clientes señales trading en tiempo real a través de nuestros canales de telegram. Disponemos de 2 canales, uno completamente gratis, y uno premium (puedes empezar con el gratuito, aun que si ya sabes de que va esto, y vas enserio, te aconsejamos comenzar con la suscripción al canal premium) Vamos a ver exactamente que ofrecemos en cada uno ...

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SSI Forex Trading Lesson 1 - YouTube

Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube. 06/16/2016 - Sentiment Strategy with Free SSI Indicator - Tyler Yell - Duration: 1:00:40. ... Best FX Trading Strategies (THE Top Strategy for Forex Trading) - Duration: 32:00. No Nonsense Forex ... SSI Forex Trading INSTRUCTOR TAKE Tom Long's Take Daily Forex Trading Plus. Loading... Unsubscribe from Daily Forex Trading Plus? Cancel Unsubscribe. Working... Subscribe Subscribed Unsubscribe 1 ... 06/16/2016 - Sentiment Strategy with Free SSI Indicator - Tyler Yell - Duration: 1:00:40. ... Best FX Trading Strategies (THE Top Strategy for Forex Trading) - Duration: 32:00. No Nonsense Forex ... -The Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) is one of the most powerful tools at a trader's disposal. It displays the net long/net short positions of all retail traders within a particular brokerage or ... Indice de Sentimiento Especulativo SSI Indicador de Trading FXCM - Duration: 20:48. ... Sentiment Indicators and Forex Trading- How To use Sentiment Indicators to Trade Forex Markets ... Learn more at Hello and Welcome to the ditto educational series that will provide you with the skills you need to become a forex ...